Fresno St
W-L: ( 5- 3) PR = 87.6229Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 904 A USC ( 7- 2, 92.7) 0- 39 912 H Sacramento State 49- 3 919 A San Jose St ( 4- 5, 77.8) 26- 10 926 H Rice ( 1- 7, 75.1) 38- 24 1003 A Wash. St ( 1- 8, 74.8) 26- 6 1010 H Boise St ( 7- 1, 95.3) 31- 38 1017 A San Diego St ( 4- 5, 78.1) 23- 26 1031 H Oregon St ( 5- 3, 85.1) 38- 22 1107 A Utah St ( 3- 5, 84.6) 1114 A Texas St. ( 4- 5, 87.7) 1121 H Colorado St ( 3- 5, 78.0) 1128 H TBD
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
904 A USC 0-39 -39 -8 --- -6.73
919 A San Jose St 26-10 16 7 +++ 8.39
926 H Rice 38-24 14 16 -1.00
1003 A Wash. St 26- 6 20 10 ++ 5.37
1010 H Boise St 31-38 -7 -4 - -2.56
1017 A San Diego St 23-26 -3 6 --- -9.30
1031 H Oregon St 38-22 16 6 +++ 9.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 904 A USC 0-39 -39 -8 --- -6.73 1017 A San Diego St 23-26 -3 6 --- -9.30 1010 H Boise St 31-38 -7 -4 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 919 A San Jose St 26-10 16 7 +++ 8.39 1031 H Oregon St 38-22 16 6 +++ 9.23 1003 A Wash. St 26- 6 20 10 ++ 5.37 |
Fresno St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| California | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| No. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| NC State | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Stanford | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Syracuse | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Virginia | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Va. Tech | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Charlotte | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ea. Carolina | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Fl. Atlantic | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Memphis | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Navy | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| No. Texas | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Rice | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So. Florida | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Temple | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Tulane | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Tulsa | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| UAB | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Houston | Houston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Houston | |
| Iowa State | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Kansas | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Kansas St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Minnesota | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Purdue | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Rutgers | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| UCLA | UCLA | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Int | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| J'ville St | J'ville St | J'ville St | ||
| Kennesaw St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| N. Mexico St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Sam Houston | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UTEP | Fresno St | Fresno St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| We. Kentucky | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Mass. | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Akron | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ball State | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Bowl'g Green | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Buffalo | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ce. Michigan | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ea. Michigan | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Kent St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Miami (OH) | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| No. Illinois | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Ohio | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Toledo | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| We. Michigan | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Air Force | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Hawai'i | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Nevada | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| New Mexico | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| San Diego St | San Diego St | San Diego St | ||
| San Jose St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UNLV | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Utah St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Wyoming | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Oregon St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Wash. St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| App State | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Arkansas St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Coastal Car. | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Georgia So. | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Georgia St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| J. Madison | J. Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | J. Madison | |
| Louisiana | Fresno St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fresno St | |
| Marshall | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Old Dominion | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So. Miss | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| So. Alabama | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Texas St. | Texas St. | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Texas St. | |
| Troy | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| UL Monroe | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Delaware | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Missouri St | Fresno St | Fresno St |
PowerWise = 85
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 A USC ( 7- 2, 92.7) 0-39 -7.20 26.04 3.20 1.16 -2.33
1 A San Jose St ( 4- 5, 77.8) 26-10 -22.08 11.16 3.20 1.16 33.42
1 H Rice ( 1- 7, 75.1) 38-24 -24.85 8.39 -3.20 1.16 12.09
1 A Wash. St ( 1- 8, 74.8) 26- 6 -25.10 8.14 3.20 1.16 26.39
1 H Boise St ( 7- 1, 95.3) 31-38 -4.64 28.60 -3.20 1.16 -4.56
1 A San Diego St ( 4- 5, 78.1) 23-26 -21.77 11.47 3.20 1.16 -10.81
1 H Oregon St ( 5- 3, 85.1) 38-22 -14.85 18.39 -3.20 1.16 35.37
------
89.58
|
winning pts = 107.2773 losing points = -17.6996
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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